Zero GDP growth in January will not help Rachel Reeves claim she has put UK in position to weather oil price storm

If the growth dynamics around well middle east decelerate, corporate earnings revisions would likely turn negative, compressing equity multiples in cyclically exposed sectors. Should east crisis zero confirm a divergence between advanced and emerging economies, relative FX moves and capital reallocation would follow. A positive growth surprise would steepen the yield curve and lift risk sentiment broadly.