Macro intelligence focused on rates, risk, credit conditions, labor, inflation, and bonds.
Macro intelligence focused on rates, risk, credit conditions, labor, inflation, and bonds.
As of December 2025, growth momentum is softening with GDP at 0.60%. Inflation at 3.00% is above the ECB's 2% target. The ECB continues its easing cycle.
ECB (Eurosystem) has cut rates by 25 bps to 2.00%. With inflation at 3.0%, the pace of cuts may depend on price pressures.
As of December 2025, growth momentum is softening with GDP at 0.60%. Inflation at 3.00% is above the ECB's 2% target. The ECB continues its easing cycle.
Government Revenue vs. Expenditure (Billions EUR)
Variable follows prime; fixed follows bond yields + spreads. See Rate Transmission for details.
Scenario-based macro commentary, not financial advice.
Data refresh in progress for: Inflation, Unemployment.
ECB (Eurosystem) has set the policy rate at 2.000%. The most recent action was a 25 basis point cut. Inflation at 3.00% is near the typical 2% target.
Growth is subdued at 0.60%. The labor market shows signs of weakness with unemployment at 10.30%.
The yield curve is relatively flat (0.492pp spread), suggesting cautious growth expectations. Fixed mortgage rates are influenced by longer-term yields.
Sources: ECB (Deposit Facility Rate), Eurostat (INE)
Data is aggregated from primary national statistical agencies. 'Regime' is a proprietary calculated metric based on growth, inflation, and policy stance indicators.
Read full methodologyBorrower fit guidance only. See Mortgage Rate Outlook for rate scenarios.
| Year | GDP | Debt/GDP | C/A | Savings | Budget | CPI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | €1.5T | 108% | +2.5% | 7% | -3.7% | 3.0% |
| 2023 | €1.4T | 110% | +2.6% | 7% | -3.6% | 3.4% |
| 2022 | €1.3T | 113% | +0.6% | 7% | -4.8% | 8.4% |
| 2021 | €1.2T | 118% | +1.0% | 11% | -6.9% | 3.0% |
| 2020 | €1.1T | 120% | +0.6% | 14% | -10.3% | -0.3% |
Annual data typically lags 1–2 years. Rows marked Forecast are IMF projections. One year changes may not reflect the underlying trend — compare across 3–5 years.
Data sourced from World Bank. This is a Tier B (3-sector) breakdown. Spain has a services-heavy economy driven by tourism (world's 2nd most visited country). The construction sector played a significant role until the 2008 crisis. Agriculture includes wine, olive oil, and citrus production. More detailed industry breakdown available from INE Spain.